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2024-12-13 10:26:27

Institution: A small interest rate cut by the European Central Bank may have a neutral impact on euro credit. Analysts of Yuxin Bank said in a report that the European Central Bank is expected to announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut tonight, which should have a neutral impact on euro-denominated credit. Analysts said that if the central bank cuts interest rates by 50 basis points further, it is unlikely to be beneficial to euro credit, because it will raise concerns about economic growth in the euro zone. According to the data of LSEG Refinitiv, the possibility that the market expects the European Central Bank to cut interest rates by 25 basis points is 83%, while the possibility of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 17%. Yuxin Bank said that as the European Central Bank continues to cut interest rates, the euro credit spread may fluctuate slightly or tighten slightly in the coming months.Reuters survey: Most economists expect Britain to basically avoid the impact of Trump tariffs. According to the Reuters survey, most economists expect that US President-elect Trump will impose tariffs of less than 10% or not at all on goods imported from Britain next year, which will have little impact on the British economy. This is in stark contrast to a similar poll last month. Last month's polls showed that people were generally worried that the EU would be hit harder. Britain officially withdrew from the EU in 2020. Part of the reason why economists are more optimistic about Britain is that although one-fifth of Britain's total trade is with the United States, the proposed tariffs will focus on goods, and only one-third of Britain's exports are goods.The Nikkei 225 index just broke through the 39,900.00 mark, and the latest report was 39,899.07, up 1.34% in the day.


Lou Feipeng, a researcher at the Postal Savings Bank: The full implementation of the personal pension system is just the right time for financial institutions to usher in development opportunities. "The full implementation of the personal pension system is just the right time." Lou Feipeng, a researcher at China Postal Savings Bank, said that in the past two years, the personal pension system has achieved remarkable results in general, with a rapid increase in the number of accounts opened and a rapid enrichment of financial products. The data shows that at the end of June 2024, the number of individual pension accounts opened exceeded 60 million. "The implementation of the personal pension system in the pioneering urban areas has enabled the residents to have a more intuitive understanding of the personal pension system. At the same time, it has accumulated rich experience for government departments and financial departments to improve the personal pension system and optimize personal pension financial services. " Yan Feipeng said. (SSE)Seven members of South Korea's ruling party announced that they would support the impeachment of Yin Xiyue. On the afternoon of the 12th local time, another member of South Korea's ruling National Power Party, Han Zhiya, announced that he would vote in favor of the impeachment of President Yin Xiyue on the 14th. Up to now, seven members of the National Power Party have publicly expressed their support for the impeachment of President Yin Xiyue. According to outside analysis, this means that the possibility of Yin Xiyue's impeachment case being passed in the South Korean National Assembly is further increased. (CCTV News)The Nikkei 225 index just broke through the 39,900.00 mark, and the latest report was 39,899.07, up 1.34% in the day.


The State Council agrees in principle with the Master Plan of Fuzhou Land and Space (2021-2035), and the State Council agrees in principle with the Master Plan of Fuzhou Land and Space (2021-2035) approved by the Ministry of Natural Resources. By 2035, the cultivated land in Fuzhou will be no less than 1,421,300 mu, of which the permanent basic farmland protection area will be no less than 1,267,200 mu; The red line area of ecological protection is not less than 5082.05 square kilometers, of which the red line area of marine ecological protection is not less than 2671.73 square kilometers; The border area of urban development is controlled within 1000.63 square kilometers; The use area of construction land per unit GDP decreased by not less than 40%; The retention rate of natural coastline on the mainland is not lower than the tasks assigned by the higher authorities, of which it will be not lower than 40.31% in 2025; The total water consumption shall not exceed the indicators issued by the higher authorities, including 2.80 billion cubic meters in 2025; Except for major national projects, reclamation is completely prohibited; Strictly manage uninhabited islands. Clarify the key prevention and control areas of natural disaster risks, delimit risk control lines such as floods and earthquakes, as well as green space system lines, water body protection lines, historical and cultural protection lines and infrastructure construction control lines, and implement safety guarantee spaces such as strategic mineral resources.The full implementation of the personal pension system may bring more medium and long-term funds, and the allocation value of the Southern Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF(159925) has attracted much attention. On December 12, the Southern Shanghai and Shenzhen 300ETF(159925) closed up 1.07%, with a turnover of 92.5438 million yuan. The constituent stocks were all red, with Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited rising by 2.47%, Kweichow Moutai rising by 1.97% and Wuliangye rising by 1.62%. China Merchants Bank and China Ping An followed suit. In the news, since December 15th, the personal pension system has been extended to the whole country, and the first batch of 85 index funds have been included in the product range, which has attracted attention, including 12 Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index funds and 300ETF(159925) in South China. According to industry insiders, since the personal pension fund system came into being, both personal pension funds and sales organizations have steadily expanded. The increase of fund products and the continuous addition of new sales organizations will bring more medium and long-term funds to the capital market, and the Southern CSI 300ETF(159925) will benefit in the medium and long term.Liu Shijin: To expand consumption, we should manage from the source, and give priority to improving basic public services and consumption of low-and middle-income groups. Liu Shijin, deputy director of the 13th Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference Economic Commission and former deputy director of the the State Council Development Research Center, pointed out in his speech at the main forum of the 2024 Southern Finance and Economics International Forum that the macro-economy is picking up, but it is also facing the increasing pressure of insufficient total demand, especially insufficient consumer demand, and the focus of which is insufficient service consumption. We should give priority to improving basic public services and the consumption environment of low-and middle-income groups through "source governance" to promote the integrated development of urban and rural areas. On the basis of short-term stimulus policies, combined with medium-and long-term reforms, we will solve the institutional problems that restrict the expansion of consumption and help China's economy achieve high-quality development. "At present, it is necessary to distinguish the problems caused by insufficient demand from the causes of insufficient demand." Liu Shijin pointed out that from the perspective of international comparison, the lack of consumption demand in China at this stage is a structural deviation. In Liu Shijin's view, it is necessary to identify the key points or pain points in expanding consumer demand at this stage. First, service consumption based on basic public services, including education, medical and health care, affordable housing, social security, culture, sports and entertainment, financial services, transportation and communication; Second, the middle and low-income class with migrant workers as the focus; Third, people-centered, urbanization and urban-rural integration. (21 Finance)

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